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Perugia, Norma: Ballroom Dancing For The Beginn...
51,49 € *
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Erscheinungsdatum: 27.07.2010, Medium: Buch, Einband: Gebunden, Titel: Ballroom Dancing For The Beginner And The Average Dancer, Autor: Perugia, Norma, Verlag: Read Books, Sprache: Englisch, Schlagworte: SPORTS & RECREATION // General, Rubrik: Sport // Allgemeines, Lexika, Handbücher, Seiten: 148, Informationen: HC gerader Rücken kaschiert, Gewicht: 328 gr, Verkäufer: averdo

Anbieter: averdo
Stand: 21.01.2020
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Superforecasting
12,90 € *
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NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLERWINNER OF THE CMI MANAGEMENT FUTURES BOOK OF THE YEAR AWARD'A manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it.' Daniel KahnemanWhat if we could improve our ability to predict the future?Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it.In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project - an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions - has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresight. These are ordinary people, from former ballroom dancers to retired computer programmers, who have an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60% greater than average. They are superforecasters.In Superforecasting, Tetlock and his co-author Dan Gardner offer a fascinating insight into what we can learn from this elite group. They show the methods used by these superforecasters which enable them to outperform even professional intelligence analysts with access to classified data. And they offer practical advice on how we can all use these methods for our own benefit - whether in business, in international affairs, or in everyday life.'The techniques and habits of mind set out in this book are a gift to anyone who has to think about what the future might bring. In other words, to everyone.' Economist'A terrific piece of work that deserves to be widely read . . . Highly recommended.' Independent'The best thing I have read on predictions . . . Superforecasting is an indispensable guide to this indispensable activity.' The Times

Anbieter: Dodax AT
Stand: 21.01.2020
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Ballroom Dancing For The Beginner And The Avera...
27,99 € *
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Ballroom Dancing For The Beginner And The Average Dancer ab 27.99 € als Taschenbuch: . Aus dem Bereich: Bücher, Taschenbücher, Ratgeber,

Anbieter: hugendubel
Stand: 21.01.2020
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Superforecasting
12,50 € *
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NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLERWINNER OF THE CMI MANAGEMENT FUTURES BOOK OF THE YEAR AWARD'A manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it.' Daniel KahnemanWhat if we could improve our ability to predict the future?Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it.In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project - an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions - has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresight. These are ordinary people, from former ballroom dancers to retired computer programmers, who have an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60% greater than average. They are superforecasters.In Superforecasting, Tetlock and his co-author Dan Gardner offer a fascinating insight into what we can learn from this elite group. They show the methods used by these superforecasters which enable them to outperform even professional intelligence analysts with access to classified data. And they offer practical advice on how we can all use these methods for our own benefit - whether in business, in international affairs, or in everyday life.'The techniques and habits of mind set out in this book are a gift to anyone who has to think about what the future might bring. In other words, to everyone.' Economist'A terrific piece of work that deserves to be widely read . . . Highly recommended.' Independent'The best thing I have read on predictions . . . Superforecasting is an indispensable guide to this indispensable activity.' The Times

Anbieter: Dodax
Stand: 21.01.2020
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Ballroom Dancing For The Beginner And The Avera...
45,49 € *
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Ballroom Dancing For The Beginner And The Average Dancer ab 45.49 € als gebundene Ausgabe: . Aus dem Bereich: Bücher, Ratgeber, Sport,

Anbieter: hugendubel
Stand: 21.01.2020
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The Frog Prince: A Romantic Comedy , Hörbuch, D...
9,95 € *
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It was his pheromones that did it. With one sniff, sex researcher Leigh Fromm recognizes that any offspring she might have with the mysterious stranger would have a better-than-average chance of surviving any number of impending pandemics. But when Leigh finds out that the handsome "someone" at her great aunt's wake is Prince Roman Habsburg von Lorraine of Austria, she suddenly doubts her instincts - not that she was intending to sleep with the guy. The royal house of Habsburg was once completely inbred, insanity and impotency among the highlights of their genetic pedigree. (The extreme "bulldog underbite" that plagued them wasn't called the Habsburg Jaw for nothing.) It doesn't matter that his family hasn't sat on a throne (other than the ones in their Toilette) since 1918, or that Austria is now a parliamentary democracy. Their lives couldn't be more different: Roman is routinely mobbed by paparazzi in Europe. Leigh is regularly mocked for having the social skills of a potted plant. Even if she suddenly developed grace, charm and a pedigree that would withstand the scrutiny of the press and his family, what exactly is she supposed to do with this would-have-been king of Austria who is in self-imposed exile in Denver, Colorado? A handsome prince, gut-busting laughs, love, dirty ballroom dancing, pathetic commoners, sex factoids, Vienna palaces, cursing in German, random hilarity, little to no frogs. See why tens of thousands of readers have fallen in love with this Amazon best seller! Because someday your prince will come...sort of. 1. Language: English. Narrator: Leah Frederick. Audio sample: http://samples.audible.de/bk/acx0/014598/bk_acx0_014598_sample.mp3. Digital audiobook in aax.

Anbieter: Audible
Stand: 21.01.2020
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Ballroom Dancing For The Beginner And The Avera...
45,49 € *
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Ballroom Dancing For The Beginner And The Average Dancer ab 45.49 EURO

Anbieter: ebook.de
Stand: 21.01.2020
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Superforecasting
19,90 CHF *
zzgl. 3,50 CHF Versand

NEW YORK TIMES BESTSELLER WINNER OF THE CMI MANAGEMENT FUTURES BOOK OF THE YEAR AWARD 'A manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it.' Daniel Kahneman What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project - an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions - has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresight. These are ordinary people, from former ballroom dancers to retired computer programmers, who have an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60% greater than average. They are superforecasters. In Superforecasting, Tetlock and his co-author Dan Gardner offer a fascinating insight into what we can learn from this elite group. They show the methods used by these superforecasters which enable them to outperform even professional intelligence analysts with access to classified data. And they offer practical advice on how we can all use these methods for our own benefit - whether in business, in international affairs, or in everyday life. 'The techniques and habits of mind set out in this book are a gift to anyone who has to think about what the future might bring. In other words, to everyone.' Economist 'A terrific piece of work that deserves to be widely read . . . Highly recommended.' Independent 'The best thing I have read on predictions . . . Superforecasting is an indispensable guide to this indispensable activity.' The Times

Anbieter: Orell Fuessli CH
Stand: 21.01.2020
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Ballroom Dancing For The Beginner And The Avera...
83,90 CHF *
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This early work on dancing is a fascinating read for any enthusiast. Its 148 pages are extensively illustrated with diagrams and intended to help beginners and average dancers in particular to acquire a sound knowledge of ballroom dancing. Contents Include: Introductory Section; The Quickstep; The Waltz; The Foxtrot. Many of the earliest books, particularly those dating back to the 1900s and before, are now extremely scarce and increasingly expensive. We are republishing these classic works in affordable, high quality, modern editions, using the original text and artwork.

Anbieter: Orell Fuessli CH
Stand: 21.01.2020
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